Liberals' Recurrent Victory in the Canadian Elections: The Trump Factor and the Mark Carney Factor

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription Access

Abstract

Parliamentary elections were held in Canada on April 28 this year. They were won for the fourth time in a row by the ruling Liberal Party, which formed a minority government. Its main rival, the Conservatives, had been rapidly losing their seemingly insurmountable advantage of 25 percentage points since January 2025, fell into a slight deficit, and, despite all efforts, were not able to overcome this gap by the election date. The Liberals' unexpected comeback was driven by four conditions: the D. Trump factor, the resignation of the unpopular J. Trudeau, the victory of M. Carney in the Liberal Party leadership election, and the inability of P. Poilievre to refocus the Conservative Party’s campaign in response to the changed circumstances.

About the authors

E. G Komkova

Georgy Arbatov Institute for U.S. and Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences (ISKRAN)

Email: lena.komkova2012@yandex.ru
Moscow, Russian Federation

References

  1. Комкова Е.Г. Итоги всеобщих выборов в Канаде: «правительство меньшинства» у либералов. США & Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2020. № 1. С. 10–31. DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.31857/S268667300008054-9. Available at: https://usacanada.jes.su/s268667300008054-9-1/ (accessed 9.05.2025).
  2. Комкова Е.Г. Внеочередные выборы в Канаде: референдум по Трюдо. США & Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2022. № 1. С. 5–20. doi: 10.31857/S2686673022010011. Available at: https://usacanada.jes.su/s268667300018416-7-1/ (accessed 9.05.2025).
  3. Молочков С.Ф. Американо-канадские отношения. Современная внешняя политика США. В 2-х т. Т. 2. Отв. ред. Г.А. Трофименко. Москва: Наука, 1984. С. 231–251.

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
Action
1. JATS XML
Download

Copyright (c) 2025 Russian Academy of Sciences